Friday 26 December 2014

Technical Outlook Of Nifty Fut(NSE-JAN):1-5 days







Nifty Fut (NF-Jan) has strong support level around 8260 zone ans sustaining below that, it could drift to 8153-8075 area.

On the upside, NF has to close above 8310 & 8366 zone to regain its momentum towards life time high again.

A sudden unwind of positions by a FII hedge fund (??) in the last hour of trading on the expiry day caused the index in some turmoil, though there was some positive news like Coal & Insurance bill ordinance. We could expect some belated Santa rally/year end rally in our market as well as global market (S&P poised to break 2100 zone shortly---).

Trading Levels: Nifty Fut (NSE-Jan)





Gap Up/Dw (Indicative)


SGX NIFTY 8284 7



        NF-JAN LTP 8277
             
             
  SL (+/-) 10 POINTS FROM SLR        
             
  Intraday Swing  Trader        
      T1 T2 T3 SLR
Strong > 8260   8280-8310 8345-8375* 8390-8419 <8240
             
Weak < 8240   8216-8196 8170-8147* 8121-8096 >8260







FOR  Conservative Positional Trader









      T1 T2 T3 SLR
Strong > 8260   8310 8375* 8419-8455 <8240
             
Weak < 8240   8196 8147* 8096-8075 >8260
             

Tuesday 23 December 2014

Technical Outlook Of Nifty Fut(NSE-I):1-5 days







Nifty Fut(NF) now has to give consecutive close above 8315 and then 8450 for life time high again around 8665 zone. If there is successful passing of Insurance & Coal bills (by ordinance route on 05/01/2015 ??, if present Parliament logjams fails to clear it), then NF could touch around 8800 zone by the first 10 trading sessions of Jan or so.

On the flip side, consecutive closing below 8315, may again invite 8200 & 8100 zone.

Keep an eye for today's Jharkhand and J&K poll results, which may prove to be a little game changer or change of sentiment in favour of Modinomics. It could also be an early trend for an end of regional politics in India.


Trading Levels: Nifty Fut-I





Gap Up/Dw (Indicative)


SGX NIFTY 8350 9



        NF-DEC LTP 8341
             
             
  SL (+/-) 10 POINTS FROM SLR        
             
  Intraday Swing  Trader        
      T1 T2 T3 SLR
Strong > 8335   8360-8375 8395-8421* 8450-8502 <8315
             
Weak < 8315   8284-8264 8240-8208* 8195-8143 >8335







FOR  Conservative Positional Trader









      T1 T2 T3 SLR
Strong > 8335   8395 8450* 8502-8665 <8315
             
Weak < 8315   8264 8208* 8143-8100 >8335
             

Wednesday 17 December 2014

Technical Outlook Of Nifty Fut (NSE-DEC):1-5 days (Update)






Nifty Fut (NF) should offer strong support around 8100 zone (being the 50% retracement level) & below that 8054 may help also. Consecutive closing below 8054 zone may bring it to 7940 & 7751 area (low probability).

On the upside, it has to trade above 8148 area for the day today and has to close above 8208 zone for any meaningful reversal.

On the Global front, after yesterday's epic and some how forced Short Squeeze of Rouble following Kerry (US) chatter about lending a helping hand to Russia to avert global market meltdown, Dow Fut has made remarkable recovery & our SGX Nifty also recovered from 8036 area to now around 8100 zone.

On the domestic front, Govt. has to ensure smooth passage of key reform bills in the Parliament, keeping aside unnecessary controversy/comments from some of its MP(s).

If today's Fed Minutes don't slap any negative surprise, then we can expect for some global Santa Rally.


Trading Levels: Nifty Fut(NSE-DEC):




Gap Up/Dw (Indicative)


SGX NIFTY 8104 -14



        NF-DEC LTP 8118
             
             
  SL (+/-) 10 POINTS FROM SLR        
             
  Intraday Swing  Trader        
      T1 T2 T3 SLR
Strong > 8100   8137-8148 8179-8208* 8231-8272 <8080
             
Weak < 8080   8054-8021 8000-7945* 7925-7900 >8100







FOR  Conservative Positional Trader









      T1 T2 T3 SLR
Strong > 8100   8148 8208* 8272-8315 <8080
             
Weak < 8080   8021 7945* 7900-7751 >8100

Monday 15 December 2014

Technical Outlook Of Nifty Fut(NSE-DEC):1-5 Days







 As par SGX Nifty, our market could open around 8227 level of Nifty Fut (NF).

Immediate positional support for NF is now 8224-8208 zone & sustaining below that, may further fall to 8048-7946 zone.

On the upside, sustaining above 8248 & 8294 zone, NF may face resistance around 8315-8395 area.

Overall, we have completed around 5% correction of intermediate top of around 8665 few days ago.

Given the abnormal shrinkage in IIP no & comfortable CPI released on last Friday evening, rate cut pressure on RBI may be mounting more & we may see some action (Short Covering ?) in our market.

Trading Levels: Nifty Fut (NSE-DEC)





Gap Up/Dw (Indicative)


SGX NIFTY 8229 -47



        NF-DEC LTP 8276
             
             
  SL (+/-) 10 POINTS FROM SLR        
             
  Intraday Swing  Trader        
      T1 T2 T3 SLR
Strong > 8200   8224-8248 8272-8294* 8316-8350 <8180
             
Weak < 8180   8160-8145 8097-8078* 8048-8033 >8200







FOR  Conservative Positional Trader









      T1 T2 T3 SLR
Strong > 8200   8248 8294* 8350-8392 <8180
             
Weak < 8180   8145 8078* 8033-7946 >8200
             

Tuesday 9 December 2014

Technical Outlook Of Nifty Fut(NSE-DEC):1-5 days






Nifty Fut (NF) suffered some retracements yesterday and possibly today at opening of our market along with global markets on the back of some disappointing China export/import data (being the global factory) and Japan data (Abenomics is not working ?). This coupled with Parliament dysfunction issue for the last few days also affected sentiment of our market. But Parliament may start to function normal and pass the important reform bills from today/tomorrow.

Near term support of NF now around 8420-8399 zone, sustaining below that, we could see 8315 & 8208 area .

On the upside, 8520-8550 area should offer some resistance as of now and above that NF may reach 8590-8675 zone again in the next few days.

Overall, its still a BUY ON DIPS market, but one can expect some cyclical corrections of around 5% from the intermediate top, which is healthy for a BULL MARKET like ours.

Trading Levels: Nifty Fut (NSE-DEC)




Gap Up/Dw (Indicative)


SGX NIFTY 8455 -30



        NF-DEC LTP 8485
             
             
  SL (+/-) 10 POINTS FROM SLR        
             
  Intraday Swing  Trader        
      T1 T2 T3 SLR
Strong > 8450   8478-8505 8522-8550* 8575-8590 <8430
             
Weak < 8430   8399-8371 8350-8337* 8315-8286 >8450







FOR  Conservative Positional Trader









      T1 T2 T3 SLR
Strong > 8450   8505 8550* 8590-8675 <8430
             
Weak < 8430   8371 8337* 8286-8208 >8450



Thursday 4 December 2014

Technical Outlook Of Nifty Fut(NSE-DEC):1-5 days







Nifty Fut(NF) should give consecutive closing above 8590 & then 8675 zone for target of 8750-8800 by next few days.

On the downside, 8535-8505 zone should provide good support for the time being.

Expect some cyclical corrections from intermediate top from time to time in our market, which may scale 9500 zone by March'15 (Pre-budget & rate cut rally) and 10500 area by Dec'15, if there is fulfillment of 2-nd generation reform in budget as promised by our FM.

Trading Levels: Nifty Fut(NSE-DEC)    





Gap Up/Dw (Indicative)


SGX NIFTY 8588 7



        NF-DEC LTP 8581
             
             
  SL (+/-) 10 POINTS FROM SLR        
             
  Intraday Swing  Trader        
      T1 T2 T3 SLR
Strong > 8535   8577-8590 8613-8650* 8675-8705 <8515
             
Weak < 8515   8485-8463 8443-8420* 8371-8336 >8535







FOR  Conservative Positional Trader









      T1 T2 T3 SLR
Strong > 8535   8590 8675* 8750 <8515
             
Weak < 8515   8463 8420* 8309 >8535
             

Friday 28 November 2014

Technical Outlook Of Nifty Fut(NSE-DEC):1-5 days







Nifty Fut(NF) need to sustain above 8590 zone for 8750 within next few days. Immediate positional support is now 8496 & 8416 zone.

Lower Crude Price, possible rate cut by RBI & various reform hopes in the ongoing winter parliament session along with proposed "2-nd generation reform" pledged by our FM in the forthcoming budget are helping a lot for our market.

Trading Levels: Nifty Fut (NSE-DEC)





Gap Up/Dw (Indicative)


SGX NIFTY 8589 42



        NF-DEC LTP 8547
             
             
  SL >/< 5 POINTS FROM SLR        
             
  Intraday Swing  Trader        
      T1 T2 T3 SLR
Strong > 8590   8615-8630 8650-8675* 8705-8730 <8570
             
Weak < 8570   8550-8525 8496-8479* 8444-8416 >8590







FOR  Conservative Positional Trader









      T1 T2 T3 SLR
Strong > 8590   8630 8675* 8730-8750 <8570
             
Weak < 8570   8525 8479* 8416-8400 >8590